Company name Starbucks Corporation
Stock ticker SBUX
Live stock price [stckqut]SBUX[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $129.45
Target stock price (averages with growth) $115.77
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $115.77
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $113.21

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/sbux

Starbucks Corporation (Starbucks), incorporated on November 4, 1985, is a roaster, marketer and retailer of coffee. As of October 2, 2016, the Company operated in 75 countries. The Company operates through four segments: Americas, which is inclusive of the United States, Canada, and Latin America; China/Asia Pacific (CAP); Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA), and Channel Development. The Company purchases and roasts coffees that it sells, along with handcrafted coffee, tea and other beverages and a range of fresh food items, including snack offerings, through Company-operated stores. The Company also sells a range of coffee and tea products and licenses its trademarks through other channels, such as licensed stores, grocery and foodservice accounts. In addition to its Starbucks Coffee brand, the Company sells goods and services under various brands, including Teavana, Tazo, Seattle’s Best Coffee, Evolution Fresh, La Boulange and Ethos.

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Starbucks Corporation as long as the price is correct and the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Starbucks Corporation calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $83.82
  • Growth: 0.17
  • Current EPS (TTM): $2.31
  • P/E: 36
  • Future EPS Calc: $5.06
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $182.32
  • Target stock price: $113.2

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

 

Company name Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
Stock ticker REGN
Live stock price [stckqut]REGN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $392.29
Target stock price (averages with growth) $298.11
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $298.11
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $378.92

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/regn

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc., incorporated on January 11, 1988, is a biopharmaceutical company that discovers, invents, develops, manufactures and commercializes medicines for the treatment of serious medical conditions. The Company commercializes medicines for eye diseases, high low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, and an inflammatory condition and have product candidates in development in other areas, including rheumatoid arthritis, asthma, atopic dermatitis, pain, cancer, and infectious diseases. The Company’s marketed products include EYLEA (aflibercept) Injection, Praluent (alirocumab) Injection, ARCALYST (rilonacept) Injection for Subcutaneous Use, Kevzara (sarilumab) Solution for Subcutaneous Injection and ZALTRAP (ziv-aflibercept) Injection for intravenous infusion. As of December 31, 2016, the Company had 16 product candidates in clinical development, which consisted of a Trap-based clinical program and 15 fully human monoclonal antibody product candidates. Its antibodies are generated using its VelocImmune technology.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc are good, in fact the company ranks as a Good company, but there are some concerns with the price of the stock and I am removing it from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $320.26
  • Growth: 0.14
  • Current EPS (TTM): $21.13
  • P/E: 15
  • Future EPS Calc: $40.68
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $610.26
  • Target stock price: $378.92

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

 

Company name Paypal Holdings Inc
Stock ticker PYPL
Live stock price [stckqut]PYPL[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $179.39
Target stock price (averages with growth) $179.39
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $179.39
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $180.08

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/pypl

PayPal Holdings, Inc., incorporated on January 30, 2015, is a technology platform and digital payments company that enables digital and mobile payments on behalf of consumers and merchants. The Company’s combined payment solutions, including its PayPal, PayPal Credit, Braintree, Venmo, Xoom and Paydiant products, compose its Payments Platform. The Company operates a two-sided global technology platform that links its customers, both merchants and consumers, around the globe to facilitate the processing of payment transactions, allowing it to connect merchants and consumers. The Company allows its customers to use their account for both purchase and paying for goods, as well as to transfer and withdraw funds. The Company enables consumers to exchange funds with merchants using a range of funding sources, which include a bank account, a PayPal account balance, a PayPal Credit account, a credit and debit card or other stored value products, such as coupons and gift cards. The Company offers consumers person-to-person (P2P) payment solutions through its PayPal Website and mobile application, Venmo and Xoom.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Paypal Holdings Inc as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Paypal Holdings Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $116.21
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.85
  • P/E: 63
  • Future EPS Calc: $4.6
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $290.01
  • Target stock price: $180.07

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

 

Company name Patrick Industries, Inc.
Stock ticker PATK
Live stock price [stckqut]PATK[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $74.24
Target stock price (averages with growth) $51.88
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $51.88
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $60.67

The following company description is from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/patk

Patrick Industries, Inc. (Patrick), incorporated on January 3, 1961, is a manufacturer of component products and distributor of building products and materials for the recreational vehicle (RV) and manufactured housing (MH) industrial markets for customers throughout the United States and Canada. In addition, the Company is a supplier to certain other industrial markets, such as kitchen cabinet, office and household furniture, fixtures and commercial furnishings, marine, and other industrial markets. The Company operates in two segments: Manufacturing and Distribution. The Company manufactures a range of products, which include decorative vinyl and paper laminated panels, solid surface, granite and quartz countertops, fabricated aluminum products, wrapped vinyl, paper and hardwood profile mouldings, slide-out trim and fascia, cabinet doors and components, hardwood furniture, fiberglass bath fixtures, fiberglass and plastic component products including front and rear caps and marine helms, softwoods lumber, interior passage doors, RV painting, and slotwall panels and components, among others. As of December 31, 2016, the Company maintained 56 manufacturing plants and 22 warehouse and distribution facilities in 16 states

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Patrick Industries, Inc. as long as the indicators that I describe in my book The Confident Investor are favorable.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Patrick Industries, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $48.09
  • Growth: 0.12
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.62
  • P/E: 12
  • Future EPS Calc: $8.14
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $97.7
  • Target stock price: $60.66

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

One of the biggest challenges in investing in the stock market is picking the best stocks. In my book, “The Confident Investor” I teach my readers how to pick Good Companies. This page is designed to show the raw performance of these companies. It is not designed to show my personal portfolio, which may or may not exceed the performance stated here. Since I use the trading system described in my book, you can assume that I beat the performance recorded here.

I must caution you, I do not actually propose that you “buy and hold” any given stock, but rather you should “buy to hold” the stock. My investing technique teaches you to efficiently move your money to the stocks that are currently increasing in value the most. I use my Watch List for this work, these are Good Companies that I wait for great buying opportunities. This strategy is well described in my book, “The Confident Investor” and tends to be a very safe strategy in bear markets while typically still providing above market returns in a bull or flat market.

My Short Term Watch List are 15 companies that are hot right now. I select this list every quarter. I evenly divide a portion of my portfolio among these 15 companies. The next quarter, I add or delete companies as necessary and then re-balance the portfolio. This tends to be a more risky strategy because I don’t bail out on bad stock movement (at least until the end of the quarter). In a bull market or a flat market, these very well-run and high-performing companies tend to beat the general market by a significant margin.

BL-TCI-cover

You can purchase my book wherever books are sold such as Amazon, Barnes and Noble, and Books A Million. It is available in paperback as well as e-book formats for Nook, Kindle, and iPad.

WATCH LIST STOCK RESULTS

 

Stock
Ticker
Company
name
Current
price
Year
ago
Year ago
change
Quarter
ago
Quarter ago
change
Month
ago
Month ago
change
Week
ago
Week ago
change
AAPL Apple Inc. $198.78 $182.13 9.14% $190.31 4.45% $179.66 10.64% $192.74 3.13%
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $256.04 $427.29 -40.08% $323.21 -20.78% $262.64 -2.51% $250.96 2.02%
ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated $299.33 $243.63 22.86% $259.69 15.26% $274.25 9.14% $274.28 9.13%
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $283.56 $353.27 -19.73% $269.62 5.17% $307.85 -7.89% $305.70 -7.24%
ALXN Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $132.39 $127.57 3.78% $130.21 1.67% $125.33 5.63% $117.93 12.26%
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $42.96 $46.98 -8.56% $39.65 8.34% $39.94 7.56% $41.23 4.20%
AMN AMN Healthcare Services, Inc. $52.69 $60.80 -13.34% $48.31 9.07% $49.61 6.21% $51.58 2.15%
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $1,911.30 $1,715.67 11.40% $1,764.77 8.30% $1,815.48 5.28% $1,869.67 2.23%
ANET Arista Networks Inc $253.39 $272.65 -7.06% $300.16 -15.58% $254.38 -0.39% $236.08 7.33%
AVGO Broadcom Inc $273.99 $250.40 9.42% $289.85 -5.47% $257.60 6.36% $263.38 4.03%
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $167.55 $202.01 -17.06% $176.26 -4.94% $156.00 7.40% $158.10 5.98%
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc $1,880.00 $2,102.85 -10.60% $1,721.59 9.20% $1,716.93 9.50% $1,775.50 5.89%
CBPO China Biologic Products Holdings Inc $95.00 $100.99 -5.93% $87.23 8.91% $90.31 5.19% $92.72 2.46%
COHR Coherent, Inc. $128.69 $154.92 -16.93% $135.18 -4.80% $110.55 16.41% $119.00 8.14%
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $41.26 $37.60 9.73% $41.80 -1.29% $39.35 4.85% $39.86 3.51%
CVGW Calavo Growers, Inc. $98.93 $94.03 5.21% $81.60 21.24% $92.17 7.33% $96.91 2.08%
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. $280.33 $289.75 -3.25% $238.70 17.44% $284.65 -1.52% $280.65 -0.11%
EA Electronic Arts Inc. $95.33 $141.26 -32.51% $102.34 -6.85% $92.11 3.50% $92.73 2.80%
FB Facebook, Inc. Common Stock $191.14 $201.74 -5.25% $164.34 16.31% $180.87 5.68% $181.33 5.41%
GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A $1,125.37 $1,169.29 -3.76% $1,207.65 -6.81% $1,145.34 -1.74% $1,086.30 3.60%
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $16.57 $12.80 29.45% $21.50 -22.93% $18.08 -8.35% $16.66 -0.54%
HZO MarineMax Inc $16.77 $22.10 -24.12% $18.07 -7.19% $16.38 2.38% $16.49 1.70%
ILMN Illumina, Inc. $361.56 $282.65 27.92% $308.79 17.09% $308.97 17.02% $344.00 5.10%
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC $134.37 $178.50 -24.72% $136.60 -1.63% $137.42 -2.22% $130.43 3.02%
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc $31.89 $40.30 -20.87% $31.30 1.88% $30.33 5.13% $32.22 -1.02%
LGIH LGI Homes Inc $71.68 $56.91 25.95% $58.19 23.18% $68.86 4.10% $73.10 -1.94%
LRCX Lam Research Corporation $183.03 $170.17 7.56% $178.42 2.59% $184.38 -0.73% $176.80 3.52%
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $181.87 $124.18 46.46% $143.21 27.00% $170.20 6.86% $176.71 2.92%
MA Mastercard Inc $264.47 $200.37 31.99% $230.44 14.77% $249.73 5.90% $260.10 1.68%
MKSI MKS Instruments, Inc. $76.16 $98.12 -22.38% $90.53 -15.87% $74.10 2.78% $71.86 5.98%
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. $333.08 $209.24 59.18% $237.91 40.00% $291.62 14.22% $320.05 4.07%
MTZ MasTec, Inc. $48.03 $52.10 -7.81% $45.38 5.84% $45.75 4.98% $48.42 -0.81%
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $369.21 $411.09 -10.19% $361.01 2.27% $352.21 4.83% $339.73 8.68%
NSP Insperity Inc $123.36 $94.43 30.64% $120.20 2.63% $114.05 8.16% $122.08 1.05%
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $151.76 $250.01 -39.30% $177.30 -14.40% $147.15 3.13% $144.64 4.92%
NXST Nexstar Media Group Inc $101.72 $74.28 36.94% $104.77 -2.91% $103.25 -1.48% $99.28 2.46%
PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. $48.09 $59.75 -19.51% $40.96 17.41% $43.98 9.35% $46.80 2.76%
PYPL Paypal Holdings Inc $116.21 $85.12 36.52% $101.27 14.75% $109.90 5.74% $116.17 0.03%
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc $320.26 $331.97 -3.53% $391.80 -18.26% $315.26 1.59% $305.24 4.92%
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $83.82 $50.12 67.24% $71.63 17.02% $76.41 9.70% $84.24 -0.50%
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. Class A $183.73 $228.05 -19.43% $168.90 8.78% $206.21 -10.90% $187.63 -2.08%
SUI Sun Communities Inc $129.85 $94.63 37.22% $117.32 10.68% $126.09 2.98% $129.12 0.57%
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc $75.22 $96.65 -22.17% $82.13 -8.41% $68.46 9.87% $71.80 4.76%
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (ADR) $14.70 $13.59 8.17% $12.25 20.00% $12.35 19.03% $14.79 -0.61%
THRM Gentherm Inc $41.10 $38.15 7.73% $36.63 12.20% $38.17 7.68% $39.00 5.38%
TMUS T-Mobile Us Inc $75.70 $60.79 24.53% $71.90 5.29% $76.01 -0.41% $74.90 1.07%
TNET TriNet Group Inc $69.30 $54.66 26.78% $59.00 17.46% $61.79 12.15% $69.01 0.42%
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $355.81 $249.76 42.46% $330.52 7.65% $337.83 5.32% $354.62 0.34%
UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc $252.28 $250.66 0.65% $246.01 2.55% $245.42 2.80% $245.37 2.82%
V Visa Inc $173.44 $134.45 29.00% $152.84 13.48% $161.51 7.39% $169.66 2.23%
WCG WellCare Health Plans, Inc. $299.29 $244.20 22.56% $241.84 23.76% $274.49 9.03% $287.10 4.25%

Over the last year, my Watch List returned 0.54%
Over the last quarter, my Watch List returned 4.61%
Over the last month, my Watch List returned 4.78%
Over the last week, my Watch List returned 3.45%

 

SHORT TERM WATCH LIST STOCK RESULTS

 

Stock
Ticker
Company
name
Current
price
Year
ago
Year ago
change
Quarter
ago
Quarter ago
change
Month
ago
Month ago
change
Week
ago
Week ago
change
ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated $299.33 $243.63 22.86% $259.69 15.26% $274.25 9.14% $274.28 9.13%
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $283.56 $353.27 -19.73% $269.62 5.17% $307.85 -7.89% $305.70 -7.24%
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $1,911.30 $1,715.67 11.40% $1,764.77 8.30% $1,815.48 5.28% $1,869.67 2.23%
ANET Arista Networks Inc $253.39 $272.65 -7.06% $300.16 -15.58% $254.38 -0.39% $236.08 7.33%
AVGO Broadcom Inc $273.99 $250.40 9.42% $289.85 -5.47% $257.60 6.36% $263.38 4.03%
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $16.57 $12.80 29.45% $21.50 -22.93% $18.08 -8.35% $16.66 -0.54%
ILMN Illumina, Inc. $361.56 $282.65 27.92% $308.79 17.09% $308.97 17.02% $344.00 5.10%
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $181.87 $124.18 46.46% $143.21 27.00% $170.20 6.86% $176.71 2.92%
MA Mastercard Inc $264.47 $200.37 31.99% $230.44 14.77% $249.73 5.90% $260.10 1.68%
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. $333.08 $209.24 59.18% $237.91 40.00% $291.62 14.22% $320.05 4.07%
NSP Insperity Inc $123.36 $94.43 30.64% $120.20 2.63% $114.05 8.16% $122.08 1.05%
NXST Nexstar Media Group Inc $101.72 $74.28 36.94% $104.77 -2.91% $103.25 -1.48% $99.28 2.46%
PYPL Paypal Holdings Inc $116.21 $85.12 36.52% $101.27 14.75% $109.90 5.74% $116.17 0.03%
TNET TriNet Group Inc $69.30 $54.66 26.78% $59.00 17.46% $61.79 12.15% $69.01 0.42%
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $355.81 $249.76 42.46% $330.52 7.65% $337.83 5.32% $354.62 0.34%

Over the last year, my Short Term Watch List returned 17.11%
Over the last quarter, my Short Term Watch List returned 8.89%
Over the last month, my Short Term Watch List returned 5.79%
Over the last week, my Short Term Watch List returned 2.44%

Short Term List returned 17%
High growth stock: Starbucks Corporation ($SBUX) at 67%
Total Execution Time: 0.97488689422607 Sec