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Company name Royal Gold, Inc USA)
Stock ticker RGLD
Live stock price [stckqut]RGLD[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $76.99
Target stock price (averages with growth) $86.66
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $59.56
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $72.66

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=rgld

Royal Gold, Inc. (Royal Gold) together with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the business of acquiring and managing precious metals royalties and similar interests. The Company focuses to acquire existing royalties or to finance projects that are in production or in development stage in exchange. As of June 30, 2012, the Company owned royalties on 39 producing properties, 26 development stage properties and 128 exploration stage properties, of which the Company considers 40 to be evaluation stage projects. The Company owns a royalty on all gold produced from the sulfide portion of the Andacollo copper and gold deposit. The Company owns a 1.0% to 1.5% sliding-scale net smelter return (NSR) royalty on the Canadian Malartic open-pit gold mine and milling operation located in Quebec, Canada.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Royal Gold, Inc USA) as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am leaving Royal Gold on my Watch List simply so investors know of a good gold based stock in case that exposure is needed in their personal portfolios.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Royal Gold, Inc USA) calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $63.99

Growth: 0.13

Current EPS (TTM): $0.87

P/E: 73

Future EPS Calc: $1.6

Future Stock Price Calc: $117.01

Target stock price: $72.65

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Panera Bread Co
Stock ticker PNRA
Live stock price [stckqut]PNRA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $143.47
Target stock price (averages with growth) $216.51
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $202.39
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $162.02

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pnra

Panera Bread Company (Panera) s a national bakery-cafe concept with 1,541 Company-owned and franchise-operated bakery-cafe locations in42 states, the District of Columbia, and Ontario, Canada. Panera operates under the Panera Bread, Saint Louis Bread Co. and Paradise Bakery & Cafe trademark names. Its bakery-cafes are located in urban, suburban, strip mall, and regional mall locations. The Company operates in three business segments: Company bakery-cafe operations, franchise operations, and fresh dough and other product operations. As of December 27, 2011, its Company bakery-cafe operations segment consisted of 740 Company-owned bakery-cafes, located throughout the United States and in Ontario, Canada. On July 26, 2011, the Company purchased five Paradise Bakery & Cafe (Paradise) bakery-cafes and the related area development rights from an Indiana franchisee. On April 19, 2011, the Company purchased 25 bakery-cafes and the related area development rights from a Milwaukee franchisee.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Panera Bread Co as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am going to leave Panera on my Watch List in the hopes that it will improve some of these metrics.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Panera Bread Co calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $153.5

Growth: 0.12

Current EPS (TTM): $6.73

P/E: 22

Future EPS Calc: $11.86

Future Stock Price Calc: $260.93

Target stock price: $162.01

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Nordson Corporation
Stock ticker NDSN
Live stock price [stckqut]NDSN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $75.04
Target stock price (averages with growth) $89.31
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $69.24
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $76.19

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ndsn

Nordson Corporation is a manufacturer of equipment used for precision material dispensing, testing and inspection, surface preparation and curing. Its technology-based systems can be found in production facilities globally. It serves diverse markets, including the consumer non-durable, consumer durable and technology end markets including packaging, nonwovens, electronics, medical, appliances, energy, transportation, building and construction, and general product assembly and finishing. Its products are marketed through a network of direct operations in more than 30 countries. The Company operates in three segments: Adhesive Dispensing Systems, Advanced Technology Systems and Industrial Coating Systems. In September 2013, Nordson Corporation completed the acquisition of Munster, Germany based Kreyenborg Group’s Kreyenborg GmbH and BKG Bruckmann & Kreyenborg Granuliertechnik GmbH companies.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Nordson Corporation as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am leaving Nordson on my Watch List for now as I need more companies in this space. If the metrics do not improve, I will drop the company from the list in the future.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Nordson Corporation calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $75.45

Growth: 0.11

Current EPS (TTM): $3.31

P/E: 22

Future EPS Calc: $5.57

Future Stock Price Calc: $122.7

Target stock price: $76.19

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Intuitive Surgical, Inc.
Stock ticker ISRG
Live stock price [stckqut]ISRG[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $314.69
Target stock price (averages with growth) $448.4
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $470.31
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $392.66

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=isrg

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (Intuitive) designs, manufactures and markets da Vinci Surgical Systems and related instruments and accessories. A da Vinci Surgical System consists of a surgeon’s console, a patient-side cart and a high performance vision system. The da Vinci Surgical System translates a surgeon’s natural hand movements, which are performed on instrument controls at a console, into corresponding micro-movements of instruments positioned inside the patient through small incisions, or ports. The da Vinci Surgical System is designed to provide its operating surgeon with intuitive control, range of motion, fine tissue manipulation capability and three dimensional (3-D), high-definition (HD) vision while simultaneously allowing the surgeon to work through the small ports of MIS. In January 2014, Luna Innovations Inc announced the sale of its shape-sensing technology for medical applications to Intuitive Surgical, Inc.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Intuitive Surgical, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am removing Intuitive Surgical from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Intuitive Surgical, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $365.47

Growth: 0.12

Current EPS (TTM): $13.29

P/E: 27

Future EPS Calc: $23.42

Future Stock Price Calc: $632.38

Target stock price: $392.65

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name HMS Holdings Corp
Stock ticker HMSY
Live stock price [stckqut]HMSY[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $11.07
Target stock price (averages with growth) $17.6
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $17.81
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $23.01

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hmsy

HMS Holdings Corp. (HMS) provides cost containment services to Government and private healthcare payers and sponsors. Its services ensure that healthcare claims are paid correctly, and its coordination of benefits services ensure that they are paid by the responsible party. Together, these services help clients recover amounts from liable third parties; prevent future improper payments; reduce fraud, waste and abuse; and ensure regulatory compliance. Its clients are the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS); state Medicaid agencies; commercial health plans, including Medicaid managed care, Medicare Advantage, and group health lines of business; government and private employers; Pharmacy Benefit Managers (PBMs); child support agencies; the Veterans Health Administration (VHA); and other healthcare payers and sponsors. In December 2012, the Company acquired the assets and liabilities of MRM, which provides Workers’ Compensation recovery services for commercial health plans.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in HMS Holdings Corp as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am going to remove HMS Holdings from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of HMS Holdings Corp calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $16.31

Growth: 0.18

Current EPS (TTM): $0.45

P/E: 36

Future EPS Calc: $1.02

Future Stock Price Calc: $37.06

Target stock price: $23.01

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]