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Company name Herbalife Ltd.
Stock ticker HLF
Live stock price [stckqut]HLF[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $73.53
Target stock price (averages with growth) $91.74
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $63.67
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $61.4

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hlf

Herbalife Ltd. is a global network marketing company that sells weight management, nutritional supplements, energy, sports and fitness products and personal care products through a network of approximately 2.7 million independent distributors, except in China, where the Company sells its products through retail stores. The Company is a network marketing company that sells a range of weight management products, nutritional supplements and personal care products. As of December 31, 2011, the Company sold products in 79 countries throughout the world. Herbalife’s products are grouped in four principal categories: weight management, targeted nutrition, energy, sports and fitness and Outer Nutrition, along with literature and promotional items. On December 31, 2012, the Company acquired a manufacturing facility in Winston-Salem, North Carolina.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am leaving the company on my Watch List as the biggest concern is the slowdown in P/E growth.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc.
Stock ticker GMCR
Live stock price [stckqut]GMCR[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $111.28
Target stock price (averages with growth) $166.68
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $128.16
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $100.49

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=gmcr

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc. (GMCR) is engaged in the specialty coffee and coffee maker businesses. The Company roasts Arabica bean coffees, including single-origin, Fair Trade Certified, certified organic, flavored, limited edition and blends offered in K-Cup portion packs, whole bean and ground coffee selections, as well as other specialty beverages, including tea, hot apple cider and hot cocoa also offered in K-Cup portion packs. The Company operates in three segments: the Specialty Coffee business unit (SCBU), the Keurig business unit (KBU) and the Canadian business unit (CBU). On December 17, 2010, the Company acquired LJVH Holdings Inc. (Van Houtte). In October 3, 2011, the Company sold Van Houtte USA Holdings, Inc. to ARAMARK Refreshment Services, LLC.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am taking the company off of my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Fossil Inc
Stock ticker FOSL
Live stock price [stckqut]FOSL[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $144.55
Target stock price (averages with growth) $185.72
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $134.61
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $138.5

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=fosl

Fossil, Inc. a global designer, marketer and distributer company that specializes in consumer fashion accessories. The Company’s offerings include a line of men’s and women’s fashion watches and jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses, soft accessories and clothing. Its products are distributed globally through various distribution channels, including wholesale in countries where it has a physical presence, direct to the consumer through its retail stores and commercial websites and through third-party distributors in countries where the Company do not maintain a physical presence. It operates in four different segments: the North America Wholesale segment, the Europe Wholesale segment, Asia Pacific Wholesale segment and the Direct to Consumer segment. Effective April 2, 2012, it acquired Skagen Designs, Ltd. and certain of its international affiliates. On December 31, 2012, the Company purchased substantially all of the assets of Bentrani Watches, LLC (Bentrani).

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. The biggest reason that the company dropped to Fair is due to its lack of growth of P/E and that is less concerning to me than other indicators. I am leaving the company on my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Extra Space Storage, Inc.
Stock ticker EXR
Live stock price [stckqut]EXR[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $68.89
Target stock price (averages with growth) $67.03
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $44.63
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $48.18

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=exr

Extra Space Storage Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company owns, operates, manages, acquires, develops and redevelops professionally managed self-storage facilities. As of December 31, 2011, Extra Space Storage Inc. held ownership interests in 697 operating properties. Of these operating properties, 356 are wholly owned, and 341 are owned in joint venture partnerships. An additional 185 operating properties that are owned by franchisees or third-parties in exchange for a management fee, bringing the total number of operating properties, which it owns and/or manages to 882. The Company operates in three segments: property management, acquisition and development; rental operations, and tenant reinsurance.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. The main reasons that the company has fallen to a Fair Company are the lack of increase in its P/E ratio and its revenue and income per employee. These items tend to be a bit cyclical and self-correcting so I am leaving the company on my Watch List for now.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Equinix Inc
Stock ticker EQIX
Live stock price [stckqut]EQIX[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $351.22
Target stock price (averages with growth) $433.03
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $250.18
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $333.76

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=eqix

Equinix, Inc. (Equinix) connects businesses with partners and customers worldwide through a global platform of data centers. The Company connects approximately 4000 customers, across the Americas, Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) and Asia-Pacific. Platform Equinix combines international business exchange (IBX) data centers, a global footprint and ecosystems. The Company offers each customer a choice of business partners and solutions based on their colocation, interconnection and managed IT service needs. Equinix offers customers direct interconnection to an aggregation of bandwidth providers, including the Internet Service Providers (ISPs), broadband access networks and international carriers. Its customers include carriers and other bandwidth providers, cloud and information technology services providers, content providers, financial companies and global enterprises. On July 2, 2012, (the ancotel Acquisition Date), the Company acquired a privately-held company in Germany.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in this stock as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am leaving this company on my Watch List for now in the hopes that the metrics improve a bit.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.