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Company name Alliance Data Systems Corporation
Stock ticker ADS
Live stock price [stckqut]ADS[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $402.5
Target stock price (averages with growth) $477.39
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $316.78
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $357.46

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ads

Alliance Data Systems Corporation is a provider of transaction-based, data-driven marketing and loyalty solutions serving consumer-based businesses in a variety of industries. The Company offers a portfolio of integrated outsourced marketing solutions, including customer loyalty programs, database marketing services, marketing strategy consulting, analytics and creative services, direct marketing services and private label and co-brand retail credit card programs. It focuses on facilitating and managing interactions between its clients and their customers through all consumer marketing channels, including in-store, on-line, catalog, mail, telephone and email, and emerging channels, such as mobile and social media. Its products and services operate under three segments: LoyaltyOne, Epsilon and Private Label Services and Credit.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Alliance Data Systems Corporation.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $260.34

Growth: 0.17

Current EPS (TTM): $6.91

P/E: 38

Future EPS Calc: $15.14

Future Stock Price Calc: $575.69

Target stock price: $357.46

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Nexstar Broadcasting Group, Inc.
Stock ticker NXST
Live stock price [stckqut]NXST[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $81.68
Target stock price (averages with growth) $42.8
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $5.29
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $64.07

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=nxst

Nexstar Broadcasting, Inc. (Nexstar) is a television broadcasting and digital media company focused on the acquisition, development and operation of television (TV) stations and interactive community Websites in the United States. As of December 31, 2011, it owned, operated, programmed or provided sales and other services to 55 television stations and 11 digital multi-cast channels, including those owned by Mission, in 32 markets. In December 2012, the Company divested KBTV, the FOX affiliate serving Beaumont/Port Arthur, Texas to San Antonio Television LLC and Deerfield Media [Port Arthur] Licensee, LLC. In December 2012, it acquired 10 television stations and two associated digital sub-channels in seven markets as well as the Inergize Digital e-Media operations from entities controlled by privately-held Newport Television, LLC (Newport). In January 2013, the Company announced that Mission Broadcasting, Inc., acquired two television stations in Little Rock, AR.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Nexstar Broadcasting Group, Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $52.9

Growth: 0.15

Current EPS (TTM): $5.4

P/E: 9.5

Future EPS Calc: $10.86

Future Stock Price Calc: $103.18

Target stock price: $64.06

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name HCP, Inc.
Stock ticker HCP
Live stock price [stckqut]HCP[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $54.86
Target stock price (averages with growth) $65.59
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $57.21
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $39.3

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hcp

HCP, Inc. (HCP) is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company invests primarily in real estate serving the healthcare industry in the United States. HCP acquires, develops, leases, manages and disposes of healthcare real estate and provides financing to healthcare providers. The Company’s portfolio consists of investments in the five healthcare segments: senior housing, life science, medical office, post-acute/skilled nursing and hospital. The Company makes investments within its healthcare segments using the five investment products: properties under lease, debt investments, developments and redevelopments, investment management and RIDEA, which represents investments in senior housing operations. During the year ended December 31, 2011, the Company sold three senior housing facilities. In October 2012, Emeritus Corp announced that HCP closed the acquisition of 127 of the 133 senior housing communities.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in HCP, Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $35.92

Growth: 0.12

Current EPS (TTM): $1.89

P/E: 19

Future EPS Calc: $3.33

Future Stock Price Calc: $63.28

Target stock price: $39.29

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Taylor Devices, Inc.
Stock ticker TAYD
Live stock price [stckqut]TAYD[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $8.53
Target stock price (averages with growth) $6.09
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $3.19
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $8.51

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=tayd

Taylor Devices, Inc. is engaged in the design, development, manufacture and marketing of shock absorption, rate control, and energy storage devices for use in various types of machinery, equipment and structures. In addition to manufacturing and selling existing product lines, the Company continues to develop new and advanced technology products. The Company manufactures and sells a single group of similar products that have many different applications for customers. These similar products are included in one of six categories: Seismic Dampers, Fluidicshoks, Crane and Industrial Buffers, Self-Adjusting Shock Absorbers, Liquid Die Springs, and Vibration Dampers. The products are manufactured at the Company’s operating facility in the United States. During the fiscal year ended May 31, 2012(fiscal 2012), 39% of the Company’s revenue was generated from sales to customers in the United States and 54% was from sales to customers in Asia.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Taylor Devices, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $8.17

Growth: 0.105

Current EPS (TTM): $0.64

P/E: 13

Future EPS Calc: $1.05

Future Stock Price Calc: $13.7

Target stock price: $8.51

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Under Armour Inc
Stock ticker UA
Live stock price [stckqut]UA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $127.18
Target stock price (averages with growth) $179.92
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $128.69
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $120.64

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ua

Under Armour, Inc. (Under Armour) is engaged in the development, marketing and distribution of apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth. The Company’s products are sold worldwide and are worn by athletes at all levels, from youth to professional, on playing fields worldwide. Most of its products are sold in North America. Internationally, Under Armour sells its products in certain countries in Europe, a third party licensee sells its products in Japan, and distributors sell the Company’s products in other foreign countries. In addition, it opened it store in China during the year ended December 31, 2012. The Company’s product offerings consist of apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth. In November 2013, the Company acquired MapMyFitness.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Under Armour Inc.

 

 

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $82.16

Growth: 0.19

Current EPS (TTM): $1.38

P/E: 59

Future EPS Calc: $3.29

Future Stock Price Calc: $194.29

Target stock price: $120.64

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]