HCP, Inc. ($HCP) Possible Buy to $44 Confident Investor Rating: Good

Company name HCP, Inc.
Stock ticker HCP
Live stock price [stckqut]HCP[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $54.86
Target stock price (averages with growth) $65.59
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $57.21
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $39.3

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=hcp

HCP, Inc. (HCP) is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company invests primarily in real estate serving the healthcare industry in the United States. HCP acquires, develops, leases, manages and disposes of healthcare real estate and provides financing to healthcare providers. The Company’s portfolio consists of investments in the five healthcare segments: senior housing, life science, medical office, post-acute/skilled nursing and hospital. The Company makes investments within its healthcare segments using the five investment products: properties under lease, debt investments, developments and redevelopments, investment management and RIDEA, which represents investments in senior housing operations. During the year ended December 31, 2011, the Company sold three senior housing facilities. In October 2012, Emeritus Corp announced that HCP closed the acquisition of 127 of the 133 senior housing communities.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in HCP, Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $35.92

Growth: 0.12

Current EPS (TTM): $1.89

P/E: 19

Future EPS Calc: $3.33

Future Stock Price Calc: $63.28

Target stock price: $39.29

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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