By:
On:
In: Good company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA)
Stock ticker POT
Live stock price [stckqut]POT[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $58.99
Target stock price (averages with growth) $72.59
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $56.85
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $50.89

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pot

Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. (PCS) is an integrated fertilizer and related industrial and feed products company. It is a producer of potash, phosphates and nitrogen producer. PCS owns and operates five potash mines in Saskatchewan and one in New Brunswick. It also holds mineral rights at the Esterhazy mine in Saskatchewan where potash is produced under a mining and processing agreement with a third party. Its phosphate operations include the manufacture and sale of solid and liquid phosphate fertilizers, animal feed supplements and industrial acid, which is used in food products and industrial processes. Its nitrogen operations include the production of nitrogen fertilizers and nitrogen feed and industrial products, including ammonia, urea, nitrogen solutions, ammonium nitrate and nitric acid. It has nitrogen facilities in Georgia, Louisiana, Ohio and Trinidad. As of December 31, 2011, it held 22% ownership interest in Sinofert Holdings Limited (Sinofert).

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

 

By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA (ADR)
Stock ticker PBR
Live stock price [stckqut]PBR[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Fair

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $12.8
Target stock price (averages with growth) $14.35
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $15.82
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $12.98

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=pbr

Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (Petrobras) is a Brazil-based integrated oil and gas company. The Company divides its activities into six segments: Exploration and Production; Provision; Gas and Energy; Biofuel; Distribution, and International. Directly or through its subsidiaries, Petrobras is engaged in the research, extraction, refining, processing, trade and transport of oil from wells, shale and other rocks, its derivatives, natural gas and other liquid hydrocarbons, as well as in activities related to energy, development, production, transport, distribution and commercialization of energy. The Company is active in Brazil and in 24 countries abroad, with projects situated on five continents. As of December 31, 2011, the Company owned 132 concession contracts for 194 exploration blocks and had a number of subsidiaries, including Petrobras Quimica SA, Petrobras Distribuidora SA, Braspetro Oil Services Company, Braspetro Oil Company, among others.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. I am removing this company from my Watch List.

 

By:
On:
In: Good company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name CARBO Ceramics Inc.
Stock ticker CRR
Live stock price [stckqut]CRR[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $59.7
Target stock price (averages with growth) $69.68
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $72.62
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $62.92

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=crr

CARBO Ceramics Inc., is a supplier of ceramic proppant. The Company is a provider of software, and consulting services, spill prevention, containment and geotechnical monitoring. The Company sells its products and services to operators of oil and natural gas wells and to oilfield service companies. The Company’s products and services are primarily used in the hydraulic fracturing of natural gas and oil wells. The Company primarily manufactures five ceramic proppants. CARBOHSP and CARBOPROP are proppants designed primarily for use in deep oil and gas wells. CARBOHSP ceramic proppants manufactured by the Company is used primarily in the fracturing of deep oil and gas wells. CARBOLITE, CARBOECONOPROP and CARBOHYDROPROP are lightweight ceramic proppants. CARBOLITE is used in medium depth oil and gas wells. During the year ended December 31, 2011, the Company generated approximately 79% of its revenues in the United States and 21% in international markets.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good, in fact the company ranks as a Good company, but there are some concerns with the price of the stock.

By:
On:
In: Good company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Balchem Corporation
Stock ticker BCPC
Live stock price [stckqut]BCPC[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $47.17
Target stock price (averages with growth) $54.66
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $39.44
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $45.46

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=bcpc

Balchem Corporation (Balchem) is engaged in the development, manufacture and marketing of specialty performance ingredients and products for the food, nutritional, feed, pharmaceutical and medical sterilization industries. The Company has three reportable segments: Specialty Products, Food, Pharma & Nutrition, and Animal Nutrition & Health. The Company sells its products through its own sales force, independent distributors and sales agents. The Company operates five wholly owned domestic subsidiaries, such as BCP Ingredients, Inc., Aberco, Inc., Balchem BV, Balchem Trading BV and Balchem Italia Srl. The Food, Pharma & Nutrition (FPN) segment provides microencapsulation solutions to a variety of applications in food, pharmaceutical and nutritional ingredients to enhance performance of nutritional fortification, processing, mixing, and packaging applications and shelf-life. Balchem’s Specialty Products segment operates in industry as ARC Specialty Products.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

By:
On:
In: Poor company, Stock analysis
Tagged:
With: 0 Comments

Company name Aeropostale, Inc.
Stock ticker ARO
Live stock price [stckqut]ARO[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $6.79
Target stock price (averages with growth) $8.83
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $9.05
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $14.12

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=aro

Aeropostale, Inc., (Aeropostale) is a mall-based, specialty retailer of casual apparel and accessories, principally targeting 14 to 17 year-old young women and men through its Aeropostale stores and 4 to 12 year-old kids through its P.S. from Aeropostale stores. P.S. from Aeropostale products can be purchased in P.S. from Aeropostale stores, in certain Aeropostale stores, and online at www.ps4u.com. As of January 28, 2012, it operated 986 Aeropostale stores, consisting of 918 stores in 50 states and Puerto Rico, 68 stores in Canada, as well as 71 P.S. from Aeropostale stores in 20 states. In addition, pursuant to a licensing agreement, it operated 14 Aeropostale and P.S. from Aeropostale stores in Middle East and South East Asia. During March 2011, it announced that it had signed a second licensing agreement. The licensee to this agreement is focused to open approximately 30 stores in stores in Turkey over the next five years.

 

Confident Investor comments: Aeropostale has not been able to perform well compared to their previous years. I am removing this stock from my Watch List. At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock until the company can fix its performance.