Trinity Industries Inc ($TRN) Confident Investor Rating: Poor

Company name Trinity Industries Inc
Stock ticker TRN
Live stock price [stckqut]TRN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $57.75
Target stock price (averages with growth) $68.73
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $46.68
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $44.83

 

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://finance.google.com/finance?q=trn

Trinity Industries, Inc. is a diversified industrial company that owns businesses providing products and services to the energy, chemical, agriculture, transportation and construction sectors. The Company’s products and services include railcars and railcar parts; parts and steel components; the leasing, management and maintenance of railcars; highway products; construction aggregates; inland barges; structural wind towers; steel utility structures; storage and distribution containers, and trench shields and shoring products. The Company’s segments include the Rail Group, Construction Products Group, Inland Barge Group, Energy Equipment Group, Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group, and All Other. Its All Other segment includes its captive insurance and transportation companies, and other peripheral businesses. It manufactures a line of railcars, including autorack cars, box cars, covered hopper cars, gondola cars, intermodal cars, open hopper cars and tank cars.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Trinity Industries Inc. I am removing Trinity from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Trinity Industries Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $37.46
  • Growth: 0.14
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.5
  • P/E: 25
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.88
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $72.2
  • Target stock price: $44.83

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I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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