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Company name The J.M. Smucker Company
Stock ticker SJM
Live stock price [stckqut]SJM[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $106.52
Target stock price (averages with growth) $118.91
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $98.4
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $102.79

The following company description is from Google Finance: https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ASJM&sq=sjm&sp=2&ei=ilCfU6C2IsHGrQGL9IHoBQ

The J. M. Smucker Company operates principally in the manufacturing and marketing of branded food products. Majority of the Company’s sales are in the United States. The Company’s operations outside the United States are principally in Canada, although products are exported to other countries as well. The Company operates in three segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Consumer Foods, and International, Foodservice and Natural Foods. In August 2013, the Company completed an acquisition of Enray Inc.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in The J.M. Smucker Company as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of The J.M. Smucker Company calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $105.83
  • Growth: 0.1
  • Current EPS (TTM): $5.41
  • P/E: 19
  • Future EPS Calc: $8.71
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $165.54
  • Target stock price: $102.79

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Assurant, Inc.
Stock ticker AIZ
Live stock price [stckqut]AIZ[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $75.12
Target stock price (averages with growth) $83.98
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $69.39
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $67

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=aiz

Assurant, Inc. (Assurant) is a provider of specialized insurance products and related services in North America and select worldwide markets. The Company operates in four segments: Assurant Solutions, Assurant Specialty Property, Assurant Health, and Assurant Employee Benefits. The products offered by the segments include warranties and service contracts, pre-funded funeral insurance, lender-placed homeowners insurance, manufactured housing homeowners insurance, individual health and small employer group health insurance, group dental, disability, and life insurance and employee-funded voluntary benefits. In October 2013, FirstService Corporation completed the sale of its Field Asset Services business to Assurant, Inc. In October 2013, Assurant Inc acquired Lifestyle Services Group Ltd. In April 2014, Assurant Inc acquired StreetLinks LLC.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Assurant, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Assurant, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $68.27
  • Growth: 0.1
  • Current EPS (TTM): $6.7
  • P/E: 10
  • Future EPS Calc: $10.79
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $107.9
  • Target stock price: $67

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Zions Bancorporation
Stock ticker ZION
Live stock price [stckqut]ZION[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $27.14
Target stock price (averages with growth) $27.88
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $21.3
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $30.4

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=zion

Zions Bancorporation is a financial holding company. The Company focuses on providing community banking services by its core business lines of small and medium-sized business and corporate banking; commercial and residential development, construction and term lending; retail banking; treasury cash management and related products and services; residential mortgage; trust and wealth management, and investment activities. The Company owns and operates eight commercial banks with a total of 480 domestic branches in 10 western and southwestern states as of December 31, 2012. The Company provides a range of banking and related services through its banking and other subsidiaries, primarily in Utah, California, Texas, Arizona, Nevada, Colorado, Idaho, Washington, and Oregon. As of December 31, 2012, net loans and leases accounted for 67.9% of total assets.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Zions Bancorporation as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Zions Bancorporation calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $30.1
  • Growth: 0.1
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.52
  • P/E: 20
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.44
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $48.95
  • Target stock price: $30.4

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Zumiez Inc.
Stock ticker ZUMZ
Live stock price [stckqut]ZUMZ[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $32.91
Target stock price (averages with growth) $51.67
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $49.93
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $32.92

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=zumz

Zumiez Inc. (Zumiez) is a specialty retailer of action sports related apparel, footwear, equipment and accessories operating under the Zumiez brand name. As of January 28, 2012, the Company operated 434 stores in the United States and 10 stores in Canada. In addition, the Company operates a Website that sells merchandise online. At January 28, 2012, its stores averaged approximately 2,900 square feet. Its apparel offerings include tops, bottoms, outerwear and accessories, such as caps, bags and backpacks, belts, jewelry and sunglasses. Zumiez’s footwear offerings primarily consist of action sports related athletic shoes and sandals. Its equipment offerings, or hardgoods, include skateboards, snowboards and ancillary gear, such as boots and bindings. The Company also offers a selection of other items, such as miscellaneous novelties.
Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Zumiez Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Zumiez Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $27.32
  • Growth: 0.14
  • Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
  • P/E: 18
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.94
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $53.02
  • Target stock price: $32.92

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name United Parcel Service, Inc.
Stock ticker UPS
Live stock price [stckqut]UPS[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $160.76
Target stock price (averages with growth) $221.8
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $189.18
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $141.21

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ups

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is a package delivery company. The Company delivers packages each business day for 1.1 million shipping customers to 7.7 million consignees in over 220 countries and territories. During the year ended December 31, 2012, it delivered an average of 16.3 million pieces per day worldwide, or a total of 4.1 billion packages. It serves the global market for logistics services, which include transportation, distribution, forwarding, ground, ocean and air freight, brokerage and financing. The Company has three segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package and Supply Chain & Freight. In February 2012, it acquired Kiala S.A. In February 2014, United Parcel Service acquired Polar Speed Distribution Ltd.
Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in United Parcel Service, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of United Parcel Service, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $104.08
  • Growth: 0.17
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.51
  • P/E: 23
  • Future EPS Calc: $9.88
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $227.42
  • Target stock price: $141.21

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]