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Company name Align Technology, Inc.
Stock ticker ALGN
Live stock price [stckqut]ALGN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $148.03
Target stock price (averages with growth) $163.83
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $74.65
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $146.41

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ALGN

Align Technology, Inc. designs, manufactures and markets a system of clear aligner therapy, intra-oral scanners and computer-aided design and computer-aided manufacturing (CAD/CAM) digital services used in dentistry, orthodontics and dental records storage. The Company operates through two segments: Clear Aligner segment and Scanner and Services (Scanner) segment. The Clear Aligner segment consists of its Invisalign System, which includes Invisalign Full, Express/Lite, Teen, Assist and Vivera Retainers, along with its training and ancillary products for treating malocclusion. The Scanner segment consists of intra-oral scanning systems and other services available with the intra-oral scanners that provide digital alternatives to the traditional cast models. The Company’s iTero scanner is used by dental professionals, and labs and services for restorative and orthodontic digital procedures, as well as Invisalign digital impression submission.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Align Technology, Inc. I am adding this company to my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Align Technology, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $95.67
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
  • P/E: 46
  • Future EPS Calc: $5.12
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $235.79
  • Target stock price: $146.4

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name Amazon.com, Inc.
Stock ticker AMZN
Live stock price [stckqut]AMZN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $1243.22
Target stock price (averages with growth) $1372.09
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $620.64
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $1239.13

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=amzn

Amazon.com, Inc. offers a range of products and services through its Websites. The Company’s products include merchandise and content that it purchases for resale from vendors and those offered by third-party sellers. The Company has three segments: North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The Company’s North America segment focuses on retail sales of consumer products from sellers and subscriptions, through its North America-focused Websites, such as www.amazon.com, www.amazon.ca and www.amazon.com.mx. The Company’s International segment includes export sales from its internationally focused Websites, including export sales from its sites to customers in the United States, Mexico and Canada. The Company’s AWS segment focuses on the sales of compute, storage, database and other AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies and academic institutions. The Company offers Amazon Prime, which is an annual membership program.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Amazon.com, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am adding this company to my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Amazon.com, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $804.7
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.01
  • P/E: 200
  • Future EPS Calc: $9.97
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $1995.63
  • Target stock price: $1239.13

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc.
Stock ticker ULTA
Live stock price [stckqut]ULTA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $348.8
Target stock price (averages with growth) $389.28
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $179.32
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $345.07

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ulta

Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. is a beauty retailer. The Company operates specialty retail stores selling cosmetics, fragrance, haircare and skincare products, and related accessories and services. The Company operates through three segments: retail stores, salon services and e-commerce. The Company also offers a full-service salon in every store featuring hair, skin and brow services. The Company offers approximately 20,000 products from over 500 beauty brands across all categories and price points, including its own private label, the Ulta Beauty Collection. The Company operates over 870 stores in approximately 50 states. The Company offers a loyalty program, Ultamate Rewards, and targeted promotions through its Customer Relationship Management (CRM) platform. It also offers promotions and coupons, in-store events and gifts with purchase. The Company’s e-commerce business, Ulta.com, provides access to product and store information, beauty trends and techniques.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $233.79
  • Growth: 0.19
  • Current EPS (TTM): $5.68
  • P/E: 41
  • Future EPS Calc: $13.55
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $555.73
  • Target stock price: $345.06

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name Under Armour Inc
Stock ticker UA
Live stock price [stckqut]UA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $30.45
Target stock price (averages with growth) $38.62
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $23.5
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $50.35

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ua

Under Armour, Inc. is engaged in the development, marketing and distribution of branded performance apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth. The Company’s segments include North America, consisting of the United States and Canada; Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA); Asia-Pacific; Latin America, and Connected Fitness. Its apparel is offered in various styles and fits to improve comfort and mobility, regulate body temperature and improve performance regardless of weather conditions. Its footwear offerings include football, baseball, lacrosse, softball and soccer cleats, running, basketball and outdoor footwear. Its accessories primarily include the sale of headwear, bags and gloves. Its accessories include HEATGEAR and COLDGEAR technologies. It offers digital fitness platform licenses and subscriptions, along with digital advertising through its MapMyFitness, MyFitnessPal, Endomondo and UA Record applications.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Under Armour Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Under Armour Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $38.91
  • Growth: 0.16
  • Current EPS (TTM): $0.99
  • P/E: 39
  • Future EPS Calc: $2.07
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $81.09
  • Target stock price: $50.35

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.