| Company name | Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. |
| Stock ticker | ULTA |
| Live stock price | [stckqut]ULTA[/stckqut] |
| P/E compared to competitors | Good |
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
| Employee productivity | Poor |
| Sales growth | Good |
| EPS growth | Good |
| P/E growth | Poor |
| EBIT growth | Good |
ANALYSIS
| Confident Investor Rating | Fair |
| Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) | $348.8 |
| Target stock price (averages with growth) | $389.28 |
| Target stock price (averages with no growth) | $179.32 |
| Target stock price (manual assumptions) | $345.07 |
The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ulta
Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. is a beauty retailer. The Company operates specialty retail stores selling cosmetics, fragrance, haircare and skincare products, and related accessories and services. The Company operates through three segments: retail stores, salon services and e-commerce. The Company also offers a full-service salon in every store featuring hair, skin and brow services. The Company offers approximately 20,000 products from over 500 beauty brands across all categories and price points, including its own private label, the Ulta Beauty Collection. The Company operates over 870 stores in approximately 50 states. The Company offers a loyalty program, Ultamate Rewards, and targeted promotions through its Customer Relationship Management (CRM) platform. It also offers promotions and coupons, in-store events and gifts with purchase. The Company’s e-commerce business, Ulta.com, provides access to product and store information, beauty trends and techniques.
Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.
How was this analysis of Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. calculated?
For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:
- Stock price at the time of the calculation: $233.79
- Growth: 0.19
- Current EPS (TTM): $5.68
- P/E: 41
- Future EPS Calc: $13.55
- Future Stock Price Calc: $555.73
- Target stock price: $345.06
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I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.