Amazon.com, Inc. ($AMZN) Cautious Buy or Hold to $943 Confident Investor Rating: Fair

Company name Amazon.com, Inc.
Stock ticker AMZN
Live stock price [stckqut]AMZN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $1243.22
Target stock price (averages with growth) $1372.09
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $620.64
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $1239.13

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=amzn

Amazon.com, Inc. offers a range of products and services through its Websites. The Company’s products include merchandise and content that it purchases for resale from vendors and those offered by third-party sellers. The Company has three segments: North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The Company’s North America segment focuses on retail sales of consumer products from sellers and subscriptions, through its North America-focused Websites, such as www.amazon.com, www.amazon.ca and www.amazon.com.mx. The Company’s International segment includes export sales from its internationally focused Websites, including export sales from its sites to customers in the United States, Mexico and Canada. The Company’s AWS segment focuses on the sales of compute, storage, database and other AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies and academic institutions. The Company offers Amazon Prime, which is an annual membership program.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Amazon.com, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am adding this company to my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Amazon.com, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $804.7
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $4.01
  • P/E: 200
  • Future EPS Calc: $9.97
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $1995.63
  • Target stock price: $1239.13

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I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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