Company name Boston Beer Co Inc
Stock ticker SAM
Live stock price [stckqut]SAM[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $343.27
Target stock price (averages with growth) $291.28
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $186.85
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $278

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=sam

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (Boston Beer) is a craft brewer in the United States. During the year ended December 31, 2011, Boston Beer sold approximately 2.5 million barrels of its products (core brands) and brewed or packaged approximately 13,000 barrels under contract (non-core brands) for third parties. During 2011, the Company sold over fifty beers under the Samuel Adams or the Sam Adams brand names, seven flavored malt beverages under the Twisted Tea brand name, three hard cider beverages under the Angry Orchard brand name and one hard cider under the HardCore brand name. Boston Beer produces malt beverages and hard cider at Company-owned breweries and under contract arrangements at other brewery locations. The Company-owned breweries are located in Boston, Massachusetts (the Boston Brewery), Cincinnati, Ohio (the Cincinnati Brewery) and Breinigsville, Pennsylvania (the Pennsylvania Brewery). During 2011, the Company launched the Angry Orchard brand family.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Boston Beer Co Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Boston Beer Co Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $221.96

Growth: 0.15

Current EPS (TTM): $5.3

P/E: 42

Future EPS Calc: $10.66

Future Stock Price Calc: $447.72

Target stock price: $278

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

Company name Royal Gold, Inc USA)
Stock ticker RGLD
Live stock price [stckqut]RGLD[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $76.99
Target stock price (averages with growth) $86.66
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $59.56
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $72.66

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=rgld

Royal Gold, Inc. (Royal Gold) together with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the business of acquiring and managing precious metals royalties and similar interests. The Company focuses to acquire existing royalties or to finance projects that are in production or in development stage in exchange. As of June 30, 2012, the Company owned royalties on 39 producing properties, 26 development stage properties and 128 exploration stage properties, of which the Company considers 40 to be evaluation stage projects. The Company owns a royalty on all gold produced from the sulfide portion of the Andacollo copper and gold deposit. The Company owns a 1.0% to 1.5% sliding-scale net smelter return (NSR) royalty on the Canadian Malartic open-pit gold mine and milling operation located in Quebec, Canada.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Royal Gold, Inc USA) as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am leaving Royal Gold on my Watch List simply so investors know of a good gold based stock in case that exposure is needed in their personal portfolios.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Royal Gold, Inc USA) calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $63.99

Growth: 0.13

Current EPS (TTM): $0.87

P/E: 73

Future EPS Calc: $1.6

Future Stock Price Calc: $117.01

Target stock price: $72.65

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]