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Company name Whole Foods Market, Inc.
Stock ticker WFM
Live stock price [stckqut]WFM[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Fair
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $29.62
Target stock price (averages with growth) $48.08
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $51.67
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $46.83

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=wfm

Whole Foods Market, Inc. (Whole Foods Market), is a retailer of natural and organic foods. The Company operates in one segment: natural and organic foods supermarkets. As of September 29, 2013, it operated 362 stores in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s stores average 38,000 square feet in size and are supported by its Austin headquarters, regional offices, distribution centers, bakehouse facilities, commissary kitchens, seafood-processing facilities, meat and produce procurement centers, and a specialty coffee and tea procurement and roasting operation. In February 2014, Whole Foods Market Inc acquired leases from Safeway Inc for seven locations formerly operated as Dominick’s stores.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Whole Foods Market, Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Whole Foods Market, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $37.78

Growth: 0.15

Current EPS (TTM): $1.5

P/E: 25

Future EPS Calc: $3.01

Future Stock Price Calc: $75.42

Target stock price: $46.83

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Vale SA (ADR)
Stock ticker VALE
Live stock price [stckqut]VALE[/stckqut]
Confident Investor Rating Poor

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=vale

Vale SA (Vale) is a Brazil-based metals and mining company. Vale services are divided into four segments: Bulk Material, including the extraction of iron ore, manganese and ferroalloys, as well as pellet production; Basic metals, comprising the production of non-ferrous minerals, including nickel, copper and aluminum; Fertilizers, including the production of potash, phosphate and nitrogen; and Logistic services, including cargo transportation for third parties divided into rail transport, port and shipping services. Vale is active in investments in joint ventures and associate in other businesses. It operates through subsidiaries and jointly-controlled entities, incorporated in Brazil, Chile, Australia, Singapore and the United States, among others. In April 2014, it transferred 20% of VLI SA to Mitsui & Co Ltd and 15.9% to Investment Fund of Fundo de Garantia do Tempo de Servico.
Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Vale SA (ADR). It is not possible to confidently invest in a company that is not currently profitable and while the latest quarter results were better, it is still not good enough. I am removing this company from my Watch List.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor.

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Company name Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc.
Stock ticker ULTA
Live stock price [stckqut]ULTA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $106.43
Target stock price (averages with growth) $149.56
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $114.8
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $106.22

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ulta

Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (Ulta) is a beauty retailer, which provides one-stop shopping for prestige, mass and salon products and salon services in the United States. During the year ended January 28, 2012 (fiscal 2011), the Company opened 61 new stores. It operates full-service salons in all of its stores. Its Ulta store format includes an open and modern salon area with approximately eight to 10 stations. The entire salon area is approximately 950 square feet with a concierge desk, skin treatment room, semi-private shampoo and hair color processing areas. Each salon is a full-service salon offering hair cuts, hair coloring and permanent texture, with salons also providing facials and waxing.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I am going to leave Ulta on my Watch List in the hopes that it improves some of its fundamentals.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $85.43

Growth: 0.15

Current EPS (TTM): $3.15

P/E: 27

Future EPS Calc: $6.33

Future Stock Price Calc: $171.06

Target stock price: $106.21

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]

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Company name Under Armour Inc
Stock ticker UA
Live stock price [stckqut]UA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $74.3
Target stock price (averages with growth) $105.51
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $75.85
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $73.76

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ua

Under Armour, Inc. (Under Armour) is engaged in the development, marketing and distribution of apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth. The Company’s products are sold worldwide and are worn by athletes at all levels, from youth to professional, on playing fields worldwide. Most of its products are sold in North America. Internationally, Under Armour sells its products in certain countries in Europe, a third party licensee sells its products in Japan, and distributors sell the Company’s products in other foreign countries. In addition, it opened it store in China during the year ended December 31, 2012. The Company’s product offerings consist of apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth. In November 2013, the Company acquired MapMyFitness.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Under Armour Inc.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Under Armour Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

Stock price at the time of the calculation: $48.37

Growth: 0.2

Current EPS (TTM): $0.77

P/E: 62

Future EPS Calc: $1.91

Future Stock Price Calc: $118.79

Target stock price: $73.76

I hope that this makes you a better investor. [/s2If]