Boston Beer Co Inc ($SAM) Cautious Buy or Hold to $159 Confident Investor Rating: Fair

Company name Boston Beer Co Inc
Stock ticker SAM
Live stock price [stckqut]SAM[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $121.26
Target stock price (averages with growth) $128.94
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $79.57
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $166.25

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=sam

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (Boston Beer) is a craft brewer in the United States. The Company is engaged in the business of producing and selling alcohol beverages primarily in the domestic market and in international markets. The Company operates through two segments: Boston Beer Company segment and A&S Brewing Collaborative segment. The Boston Beer Company operating segment comprises of the Company’s Samuel Adams, Twisted Tea and Angry Orchard brands. The A&S Brewing Collaborative operating segment comprises of The Traveler Beer Company, Coney Island Brewing Company, Angel City Brewing Company and Concrete Beach Brewing Company. It sells over 60 beers under the Samuel Adams and the Sam Adams brand names, over 10 flavored malt beverages under the Twisted Tea brand name, over 10 hard cider beverages under the Angry Orchard brand name and approximately 40 beers under over four of the brand names of its subsidiary, A&S Brewing Collaborative LLC, under its trade name Alchemy & Science.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Boston Beer Co Inc as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Boston Beer Co Inc calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $162.15
  • Growth: 0.1
  • Current EPS (TTM): $6.65
  • P/E: 25
  • Future EPS Calc: $10.7
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $267.74
  • Target stock price: $166.25

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I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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